Tugas Akhir Informatika
DESAIN DAN PENGEMBANGAN SISTEM PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE MOVING AVERAGE DALAM JENIS PENJUALAN PRODUK MAKANAN DENGAN WAKTU KEDALUWARSA SINGKAT
Stock of goods is one of the important aspects in trade. The amount of stock of goods that exceeds the demand will cause losses if not sold out until the expiration date of the goods. Conversely, if the number of goods is less than the number of existing requests will result in non-optimal profits. To overcome this, it is necessary to manage the sales method for the demand for an item and its production. One thing that can be done in the management of this sale is the sales forecast. One forecasting method that can be used is one method which can be implemented, namely the moving average method by testing the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The data used are sales data UD. Primadona for two years starting from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2018. There are three time groups, namely daily, weekly and monthly. The test results showed the highest MAPE results were in risolharian with a value of 65.5% while the lowest was in the fertility with a value of 13%. It is found that the smallest error value is obtained from monthly time with an average value of 18.16% while the highest error value is obtained by daily time with an average value of 46.99%.
2019286 | 650.1.Hen.d | Tersedia |
Tidak tersedia versi lain